Net Zero
ByEvening all.
One of those amusing late season games tonight where it doesn’t really matter who wins for BOTW.
I backed Everton to be “The best of the rest” back in August at 5/2, and a win tonight would see them move within a point of Bolton who currently hold that key 7th place. The Trotters really have beaten even my expectations.
Every point Owen Coyle’s men rack up from now until may are all pure profit for BOTW havnig gone long on their total of 41 at 1pt per point. That could be a 10 point hike in itself.
However, we are also exposed to Everton’s opponents tonight at Goodison Birmingham’s total points – so a sneaky away point or three won’t do too much harm.
It’s a bit too early to consider any hedging positions at the moment, so this is just a case of sitting back and enjoying the game I guess.
Or you could watch Spurs vs AC Milan. Hmmmm….
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Hi Blez and all,
Any thoughts on this weekend’s coupons? I have been burned twice lately on definite +EV positions that both had lots of room in them so am looking for something solid to get the recovery back on track. Analysed the whole of the championship coupon without success and unlikely to have time to look at anything else before kick off tomorrow and thought I would see if you guys had much in the melting pot?
Cheers
Cockers
As I know you like to get in early cockers and as I am relying on the iPhone to get my article up again this week(!) i’m not going to beat about the bush…
It’s 2pts on Burnley to beat Millwall for me this week at circa 1.91!
Cheers
Hi Guys,
The one I’m going for this week is Wycombe at home against Stevenage at 6/5
Wycombe are 9/5/4 +8 at home giving them 50% win ratio and the odds have them at 45% so (if I’m doing this right – not too sure that I am yet) this means they are +E/V to win? Probably got this all wrong now but just having a go and still learning
Cheers
Shane,
That logic sounds spot on to me and seems you picked up the thought process pretty quickly!
Great to get peoples thoughts and contributions on here!
Again, apologies for being a bit quiet recently. I will be 100% back in the game next week.
Here’s to a Burnley win!
Cheers
Blez