After the comments in my weekly post, I thought I would pop a quick piece up on the pricing of the Manchester derby.

Man United have drifted this morning on the exchanges, out as far as 1.99 and with material sums trading at 1.92 to 1.94.

This is a very big price for Man United at Old Trafford.  As context, there have only been eight occasions since the start of the 2005/06 season that Man United have been even money or better in a home game.  Check out the table below.

Man United – Biggest priced home games since 2005/06

Season	Date	Opposition	Score	Outcome	Ave. Odds
2005/06	06/11/2005	Chelsea	1-0	H	3.04
2005/06	22/01/2006	Liverpool	1-0	H	2.23
2005/06	09/04/2006	Arsenal	2-0	H	1.99
2006/07	26/11/2006	Chelsea	1-1	D	2.48
2007/08	23/09/2007	Chelsea	2-0	H	2
2008/09	11/01/2009	Chelsea	3-0	H	2.19
2009/10	29/08/2009	Arsenal	2-1	H	2.13
2009/10	03/04/2010	Chelsea	1-2	A	2.6

As you can see, all but one of these games are against Chelsea and Arsenal.  The sole infiltrator is Liverpool back in 2005/06.  Click here if you want to see the table from that date as to why that price was so big.

Although they are defensively very sound and have performed well this season, I think that to put City in this category just yet is a bit of a stretch.  They have a few injuries at the moment and have a number of players still settling into the side.  Maybe by this time next season this could be a fair price.

The next thing you may have noticed is quite how well United have faired in these games.

Here is the usual level stakes return profile:

Man United – Big priced home games against the big guns 2005 – 11

So, a picture paints a thousand words right?

I’ll leave it at that then.

Infact, instead i’ll leave you with Darren Fletcher reminding the bookies just exactly why you don’t give out 2/1 on Man United to win a home game.

The cheek.

BOTW: 2pts on Man United to beat Man City @ 1.9

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A look at the Manchester derby price movements, 5.0 out of 5 based on 1 rating