Aug
24

Arte et labore

By

I don’t think this one even need any chat.

I am backing Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6.  Well, actually I just backed it at 8/11, but c’est la vie.

It has to happen 60% of the time to be break even. (6/(4+6) = 0.6)

I would price this very differently.  In fact I would go nearer 80% than 60%.

As a result of this differential, no injury risk or single event volatility, I am going to tie up a decent amount of cash in this one.

I look forward to spending my 6pt profit in May very wisely.

BOTW: 9pts on Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6

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Categories : Tips, Uncategorized

Comments

  1. Dayno says:

    I think even 20% is generous for the Hammers.

    They’re also offering 5/6 to come above Sunderland, now I know what they say about putting eggs in baskets but I think that represents decent value too..

  2. Poll says:

    For those that haven’t heard it, Warren Buffet, when asked about putting all his eggs in one basket, said: “I prefer to keep all my eggs in one basket and watch that basket closely”.

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