Aug
24
Arte et labore
ByI don’t think this one even need any chat.
I am backing Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6. Well, actually I just backed it at 8/11, but c’est la vie.
It has to happen 60% of the time to be break even. (6/(4+6) = 0.6)
I would price this very differently. In fact I would go nearer 80% than 60%.
As a result of this differential, no injury risk or single event volatility, I am going to tie up a decent amount of cash in this one.
I look forward to spending my 6pt profit in May very wisely.
BOTW: 9pts on Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6




I think even 20% is generous for the Hammers.
They’re also offering 5/6 to come above Sunderland, now I know what they say about putting eggs in baskets but I think that represents decent value too..
For those that haven’t heard it, Warren Buffet, when asked about putting all his eggs in one basket, said: “I prefer to keep all my eggs in one basket and watch that basket closely”.