Hmmm, hindsight is always is 20/20 but last night I think I made a mistake.

I don’t feel like I make too many these days, but this was one. Most of my losing selections (such as Italy last week) I watch the event and conclude “fine, no problem, this one wasn’t to be.  I am very happy with my price though.”

I’m still reasonably happy with the price. It was probably a break-even selection at worst, given that the market came in as far as 4/6 in places and 10/11 best price before the off.

That wasn’t where I made the mistake. It is important to always remember that you must always have an edge when placing these bets. A logical reason why you believe the bookies prices don’t reflect reality – this won’t always be by mistake on their part.

Last night was one of those nights. But the biggest mispricing available was for Tiger Woods to pull of a famous come from behind victory.

Let’s face it, that is what most casual punters wanted to see. The big spectacle. And, therefore that is where they wanted to put their cheeky £5 as well.

I think the 3/1 that was available earlier in the day was a terrible price for Tiger, as I alluded to in my brief post.

This was an occasion where a little more thinking on my part would have returned us a comfortable profit.

Laying Eldred on the exchanges was definitely the best call last night. But I put 2 and 2 together and got 5 unfortunately.

I have to admit to really not fancying McDowell’s chances going in, so bloody well done to him. I certainly didn’t think a 74 would have been good enough for him. However, amongst such madness just keeping your head is often underestimated in all walks of life.

It’s easy to let the manor of a defeat impact your thoughts and assessment, so even though DJ stank up the entire joint, those that are golfers will probably agree with me when I say that he was possibly only one shot for claiming victory… if he puts it in the middle of the first green with his second shot he probably goes on to win the big jug.

So, all in all, let’s not beat ourselves up too much on this one… after all, Dustin Johnson’s previous ten rounds around pebble beach?!

65,69,67,64,68,64,74,71,70,66 – good for an average round of about 68!

82. Eighty-two… And I think I feel bad about the situation. Ouch.

Chin up Dustin.