After an irritating, although far from disastrous, few weeks for BOTW some of you may be wondering where the next win is coming from and how we are going to repair the gaping hole in our profits for the season.

Apologies in advance for salting the wounds of any new followers, but here is how.  Let’s have a goose at our long term positions which are due to settle next month…

1) 8pts on Rafa Benitez to still be Liverpool manager at seasons end @ 11/10

Potential profit – 8.8pts | Verdict – Cash in the bank

I won’t linger on this one.  Mickey mouse market, and mickey mouse price to go with it.  That is why they won’t let you put more than £250 on these things.  Cheap advertising I guess.  But I don’t mind.

Even though Liverpool have been god awful, Benitez was never, ever, ever going to get fired.  Because. as has since been trotted out by the rags on a weekly basis, they simply cannot afford to.

Liverpool fans, save me the sob story – because I am not listening.  You’re the same people that were predicting a league title back in July remember.  I wasn’t listening then, and I am certainly not listening now.

You won’t even make fourth place.  Speaking of fourth place…

2) 5pts on Man City to break the “Big 4″ monopoly @ 13/8

Potential profit – 8.1pts |Verdict – 2 lengths clear, 2 fences to jump

People didn’t like it at the time.  And they will make for a great case study in the Summer when we are all missing our football fix.

We are down to a two horse race, and looking at what can only be described as the “horrific” remaining fixtures for both City and Spurs and can’t help but feel there are more twists and turns to come.  At 6pm tonight my verdict would have been slightly different, but with Spurs a point or two up on expectations after tonights fantastic result they are again in vogue.  Funny old game isn’t it?!

There are a number of opportunities to hedge this market, be it by laying off on Betfair, backing Tottenham or possibly even by waiting to see how the next few games unfold and then hedged come the City v Tottenham game next month.

City are currently 1.6ish on the exchanges, so it appears this position is worth around 5pts currently.

Anyway, whilst we are on the subject of blue scum…

3) 15pts on Chelsea to win the Premier League @ 10/11

Potential profit – 13.6pts | Verdict – Cash in the bank

Yadda yadda yadda.  Blah blah blah.  Your still a team full of people you wouldn’t want involved with your sister, or even to visit your granny for tea and scones to be honest.  Especially you “JT”.  You sir are not “Captain Fantastic”.

You are chav scum and the epitome of why footballers have a bad name.  You also very nearly cost me…

4) 8pts on James Milner to make the England World cup squad @ 4/5

Potential profit – 6.4pts | Verdict – Cash in the bank

I won’t waste my time reiterating my original post from back in XxxX, but, again, this was a silly price. Capello had publicly announced that he thinks about him in the shower, and the boy can play almost as many positions as Inspector Gadget himself, Big John O’Shea.  FYI, he is known as “BJS” to his mates. Fact.

Anyway, whilst we are on the subject of locks for the England squad…

5) 8pts on Big Peter Crouch to score more than 9 Premier League goals this season @ 5/6

Potential profit – 6.7pts | Verdict – A cat in a bag

Ah Peter Peter Peter.  Not looking good now is it?

You move to a better team, that plays free flowing attacking football and scores truck loads of goals.  And you play every single week.  And what do you manage to muster up?!  32 appearances… 7 goals.

FC: “I can’t put you in the England team with that sort of record you know son.”

PC: “But boss, I have got 5 goals in the cups as well.  That is twelve on the season.  That is almost 20 goals.  And you know 20 goals is a good return.   And i’ve got more than double the number Big Emile has managed.”

FC: “Sorry Pete, it just isn’t good enough.  You don’t have enough, erm,…”physical presence”!”

PC: “I’m 6 foot bloody 7 boss!!  Or by “physical presence” do you mean an absolute inability to shoot, dribble or pass but being good in the air and resembling a snowplough?  Face it, Emile really is a bit shit.”

SGE: “Go on then.  You have convinced me.  Your in.  As long as Abby comes with you… and stops in my room! “

I heard some deluded fool with on 5live last week saying that Monsieur Capello should take a different striker to South Africa…

6) 5pts on Rickie Lambert to be League 1 top goalscorer @ 11/8

Potential profit – 6.9pts | Verdict – Almost out of sight

I have to be honest… this one made me sweat a lot more than I expected it to when I placed the bet!

But it appears after his brace midweek, Fat Rick is now home and dry with a four goal lead on the field with four games to play.  Two more chalked on the board would put it beyond doubt, however I think he may even have done enough as it is considering Norwich’s current state of flux.

Good work Richard old boy.  Only pulling your plonker about the gut!

Conclusions

Things are looking good.  Roman’s boys are home and dry, Milner still has all of his limbs, Rafa is still hanging around hindering Liverpool’s chances of making the Champo League, Rickie L has avoided both injury and the all you can eat buffet to rack up 28 goals and even City look like they are closing in on fourth place.

We could well be a BPC hat trick (Burnley last day anyone?) away from the clean sweep.

Joking aside, assuming the robot doesn’t manage to chalk up a further three goals over the next month it appears we are looking at 5 winners and 1 loser.

That makes a sodding change for this site doesn’t it?!

If that is the case we could well be looking at a combined profit of a whopping 27pts.  That’s right 27.

Also, don’t forget to include the circa 7pt profit on the Ecuadorian Express already cash in back at Christmas when he best his goals spread at the turn of the year.  So we could in fact be looking at a 34pt profit for the long term season bets this year.

Boom Boom.