I like my bookies the opposite of how I like my women. Lazy and fat.
Coincidentally, one of my favourite bookies have got some portly prices on offer for a few of the games on the midweek coupon this week, amongst a rash of ”size zero” encounters.
Back Chelsea at 1/7 at your peril 3 days after an FA Cup Semi on that pitch. I would certainly avoid the aftermath of El Classico too. A demoralised Madrid side at 1/3 away from home is a bit silly.
I am a big fan of backing the promotion chasing teams at this stage of the season. They are focussed and as a result are much less likely to put in a lackadaisical performance and less likely to make unforced errors.
Coral have playoff hopefuls Dagenham at a best priced 8/11 (1.72) at home to Barnet this week and I think it is a price worth taking. I would price them at around 1.55 for what will be a make or break fixture for their season.
Barnet aren’t a terrible team, but they aren’t the most potent either, having failed to score in almost 50% of their away games this season, good for 22nd in the league. That wouldn’t be so bad if they did leak two goals a game away from the comforts of Underhill. Their brace of away clean sheets ranks 23rd in the league.
Dagenham have a strong home record and know that anything less than three points on Tuesday night will be curtains for their season. With winnable home games against the Bees and then Burton Albion this week, it really is do or die for Paul Fairclough’s men. I expect them to run out comfortable winners.
Coral’s also lead the market offering 1/3 (1.33) on AFC Wimbledon to beat BSP whipping boys Grays Athletic. Not the biggest of prices I know, but I am happy to put this one in to boost returns given that I even think the 1/4 offered by Billy Hill, amongst others, is still a backable price.
The Crazy Gang won’t make it up into League 2 this season, with their playoff chances having faded last month during a horrid run of fixtures.
In the last 16 days AFC have played a staggering 6 games (a slight concern I will admit, but I shall let it slide for once). This would be tough irrespective of the fixtures in question – however their run of Rushden (4th), Wrexham (11th), Histon (18th), Stevenage (1st), York (5th) and Mansfield (9th) is Gennaro Gattuso style brutal.
However, Terry Brown’s men have been killing the poorer sides this season and I have no doubts they have enough left in the tank to see off a truely abysmal Gray’s side. They will be looking to finish the season on a high and shouldn’t falter against such poor opposition.
Tasty price for this one as a pair I feel.
BOTW: 3pts on a Dagenham and AFC Wimbledon double @ 2.28