Evening all.

As you should all know by now, I love a bit of bouncebackability.  And this week I plan on tucking into a super-sized portion, with extra cheese on top. Read More→

I am going to have a couple of smaller bets to support this week’s main selection, Norwich.  There seems to be a lot more value around than there has been for a couple of weeks now. Read More→

Evening all. Nothing to report tonight. Most of the potential value was last night, and even that I decided wasn’t quite good enough.

So tonight is certainly a night to stand pat and hopefully enjoy a bit of anti-gambling.

Hopefully back tomorrow night with my thoughts on the weekend, rather than Friday for once.

Cheers.

I am getting straight back on the horse with Colchester tomorrow night, who are at home to past BOTW victim Southend. Read More→

Well well well. After over six months, that is possibly the first time I have had a completely fruitless multi-bet weekend.  Newport’s failure to hold on to a 2-0 lead at home to Welling with 30 minutes to play was only the second time my main football selection for a weekend has been unsuccessful this season.

Now although the end of such a run is always a shame, it gives me a chance to build on my introduction to pricing post from last week and to discuss probability and variance further.

I have repeatedly stressed throughout the season that BOTW’s recent hit rates were unsustainable.  And that is demonstrated by the fact that I am writing this post entering the second week of February with two thirds of the season already gone.  Let’s use this weekend’s results as a little example. Read More→