I just wanted to comment on the stupidity of some of the betting promotions you see knocking around.

Like many football fans in the UK, I make a daily stop off at Football365 to catch up on the news and gossip.

I like Football365.  They have surprisingly low levels of “Anyone But United” for such a large website, mainly due to the high concentraiton of c*nts in the Chelsea squad and the so easily mockable idiocy of Rafa Benitez.

They show quite a lot of love for the Gooners, but thats OK.  To be honest, even I quite like Arsenal these days. Great football. Some decent chaps.  A few lamentable fellows, but on the whole, a talented and entertaining squad that play some of the best football you can find.

Now I am going to go for a shower as I feel rather dirty.

Anyway, back to betting.

F365 currently have some sort of “f*ck buddy” type relationship with Skybet.  It’s nothing serious, but every now and then they allow them to come around and start sticking things most people don’t want to see, in places they shouldn’t.

Like this weekends “Back all the top 4 to lose and win £4,500 from £1″ offer.

This is basically theft. But people fall for the big number.

I don’t have time to go back and look for when the top 4 have all lost during the same weekend.

I am going to take a stab at “never” in the Premier League era, but somebody may know better.

Given that Man United lose around two games a season to non-top four opposition, and the others only marginally more, it is statistically pretty difficult to foresee.

Anyway, this is not the only reason it is theft. Take a look at the fixutres. For once, I am not going to ramble, I am going to be quite to the point.

1) Liverpool will probably* lose at Sunderland.

2) Chelsea will possibly lose at Villa.

3) Man United are capable of losing to Bolton at Old Trafford, once in a blue moon.

However,

4) Arsenal will not lose this game at home to Birmingham if they play this game 40 times. Arsenal are tearing bad teams apart this season, especially at the Emirates.

I expect a routine 3 -0 victory.  Although I am not saying that a beating is a certainty. However, if Arsenal fail to take maximum points from this game, it will be because Birmingham have fought like soldiers to get away from there with a 0-0.  Or at a stretch a set piece related 1-1.

But this is why the odds are 4,500 to 1.  They want you to see the odds and think “Torres and Gerrard are both injured, and Villa are pretty handy so I am going to stick a quid on this… why not eh!?”

Because it is a complete waste of a quid you idiot.  Man United and Arsenal wont both lose these fixtures more than once every 10 years. And the chances of that being on the day that Sunderland and Villa both keep up their end of the deal means that you are unlikely to see this bet come in in your lifetime.

Stick your £2 on Sunderland to beat a toothless Liverpool at 3/1 and be done with it, give yourself a chance of winning something. And don’t put your winnings in your ISA, buy a round of drinks in the pub tonight you tight gits.

And if you really want to waste £1, buy a god damn lottery ticket.  Then if you get lucky at least it will change your life.

Over and out.

BOTW: 1pt on Sunderland to beat a Gerrard and Torres-less Liverpool @ 3/1

* For the anal bastards out there, it is not really “probable” that Liverpool will lose at Sunderland. Hence the reason you are getting 3/1 you dummy. But it makes my post read better. Have you not heard of creative license?!