Sweating
By · CommentsHow we all doing folks?!
It has been a mighty quiet around here the last week or so in my absence. Anyone found anything they like the “luck” of?
I still don’t plan on putting anything big on this weekend. It is still a little early for me. That said, I may go through the coupon tomorrow and have a little tinkle.
Before then we have the small matter of England v Bulgaria to enjoy/dure.
As I alluded to a few weeks ago, I have had a bit of trouble getting my picks on “special” markets up on here before the market/price disappears.
One of my largest wagers of the year will mature tomorrow when Don Fabio names his starting XI for the first Euro 2012 qualifier against Bulgaria.
Back at the end of June, Stan James and his boys jumped straight on the “England are doomed” bandwagon after that miserable afternoon in Bloemfontein, opening up a rash of markets.
One of such markets , was a special over/under market based on the starting XI from the Germany game.
They had determined the “breaking point” for this market to be that either 7 or 8 of the players from that day would retain their starting place. As a result, they offered a generous 10/11 on both “under 7.5″ and “over 7.5″.
After pondering this for a few hours (actually, it was so obvious this was about 5 minutes!) and consulting a few well respected friends, I placed a hefty 10% of my personal betting bank on “under 7.5″.
Downtime
By · CommentsLadies & Gents,
Apologies for the radio silence. BOTW has actually been enjoying five days of golf in sunny Portugal this past week.
After all, all work and no play makes Jack a very dull boy.
It is still early season and it is best to take it slow and forge some views on how teams are shaping up against expectations, so not a bad time for a break.
I will be back online with some good stuff this week, so please keep checking in.
Cheers
Arte et laboure
By · CommentsI don’t think this one even need any chat.
I am backing Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6. Well, actually I just backed it at 8/11, but c’est la vie.
It has to happen 60% of the time to be break even. (6/(4+6) = 0.6)
I would price this very differently. In fact I would go nearer 80% than 60%.
As a result of this differential, no injury risk or single event volatility, I am going to tie up a decent amount of cash in this one.
I look forward to spending my 6pt profit in May very wisely.
BOTW: 9pts on Blackburn to finish above West Ham @ 4/6
BOTW’s Alternative EPL table – Week 2
By · CommentsWell how about that for a week then? Absolutely enthralling stuff across almost every game across the top division.
A healthy does of the old BOTW favourite “BBA” and a week to remember for the new boys.
Grit and determination win out almost across the board. You have to love seeing that.
Look forward to hearing your thoughts/slatings ladies and gents…
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