BOTW: 2pts on Man United to beat Liverpool @ 2.00
How are we all keeping? I thought it was about time I gave everyone a bit of an update on how things are looking for our opening positions. I’ve also got a couple of other positions to add into the mix and a bet for tomorrow to boot. Happy days.
Before I move on to all of that though, a quick plug for a piece my team at work put together this week. I might not write big pieces for BOTW here very often these days, but I have great news – you will be getting one a month from now on through Sporting Solutions.
So please do have a read, and even better pop a comment on the article over on the website if you have anything particular to say. It would be much appreciated.
And if you are a Twitter user, please do add us @SportingSols.
Right, enough that’s enough work promotion for now. Let’s get back to BOTW.
Sorry for not keeping to my promise of regular posting. When your job involves 12 hours a day of sports betting related tasks, but doesn’t leave free time for writing for BOTW, it i tough to motivate myself to churn out pieces for the site like I used to when I do get home.
However, as we come into the festive period I have a few days off and therefore the rare combination of both the time and inclination to put something together.
And I think I have a little Christmas cracker for you.
I think Bet Victor have been particularly lazy in their pricing of the PFA Player of the Year market.
I’m at a wedding today so I can’t do a theory piece unfortunately.
However, it only takes 5 minutes to spot the value on today’s coupon – Newcastle to beat Swansea at odds against is a crazy price.
BOTW: 3pts on Newcastle to beat Swansea @ 2.05
Last week we kicked off the season with a disappointing loss.
After a terrible first 10 minutes, QPR actually played pretty well in their 1-1 draw with Reading last week – and I am convinced they held good value at 1.87.
When the opposing goalkeeper gets Man of the Match, you know you were pretty close to getting home. Alex McCarthy’s save from Estaban Granero’s free kick was the best I have seen in a long time and Adel Taarabt was also denied by the lanky keeper late on – although more blame lies at the feet of the Moroccan than credit is due to McCarthy on that occasion.
It’s pretty difficult to have as many attempts on target as QPR did and not pick up three points – especially at home. However, that’s life and often the way for teams that are short on confidence.
Let’s move on to this week’s action.
Back to the Meadow
My first selection of the day is backing old BOTW favourite Notts County to beat Crawley Town at Meadow Lane. County started the season well, briefly topping the table, but have spluttered somewhat in recent weeks - cumulating in a four game home win less streak. I think they will be 100% up for this one, especially against a fellow promotion chaser in Crawley – who despite only squeaking promotion from League Two last season, are fast becoming a marquee fixture for anyone in this league.
Notts are out at 2.4 for this game and I would have them closer to 2.0 that 2.4, that is for sure.
Sky (blue) high prices
Another absolute gimmie down in League 1 is 2.06 for a rapidly improving Coventry to beat a rapidly-being-relegated Scunthorpe.
Coventry have been flying since Mark Robins was appointed – with only three single goal defeats – two of which were at the hands of strong opposition (Brentford, Notts County). They come into the game on a 6/2/2/+10 run in their last ten games in all competitions.
However, they will still be 100% focussed for this game, as they still lie in a very precarious position in the table given their horrendous start to the campaign.
This one is an absolute a no-brainer – even considering Scunthorpe’s shock 4-1 win away at Walsall last time out.
For those looking to fill out a coupon or for something more aggressive, I also like Brighton away at Wolves today (especially the lay of Wolves for those that are comfortable on the exchanges and I am also laying Everton at a very short 1.5 at Goodison versus a struggling Sunderland side. There are worse things you could do with a fiver this weekend than backing Martin O’Neill’s men to pull off a shock at 7/1 that is for sure.
As a heads up to ensure people get the value, I am also taking a position on the Chelsea game tomorrow – however, I won’t have time to write about that until tonight or tomorrow. But feel free to get on it today in case the price moves – if you trust me of course!
BOTW: 3pts on Coventry to beat Scunthorpe @ 2.06
1.5pts on Notts County to beat Crawley @ 2.4
0.5pts on Brighton to win at Woles @ 3.1
0.25pts on Sunderland to win at Everton @ 8.0
2.5pts on Chelsea to beat Liverpool @ 2.0
1.5pts on Chelsea v Liverpool to be a draw @ 3.8